Popular Vehicles Q1 FY26 Earnings: Are Strategic Shifts Paving the Way for a Turnaround?

Published: Aug 22, 2025 12:52

Popular Vehicles and Services Limited (PVSL) recently unveiled its Q1 FY26 Investor Presentation and held its Earnings Conference Call, offering a glimpse into its performance amidst a challenging automotive landscape. While the first quarter is typically softer for the industry, the results present a mixed bag, with some encouraging signs of resilience and strategic shifts.

The broader Indian economy experienced a robust Q1 rally for Nifty and Sensex, though July brought a correction due to weak earnings, cautious guidance, and global uncertainties. The automotive sector, particularly the non-luxury passenger vehicle segment, faced headwinds, aligning with the “underperformers” category amidst the market’s preference for domestic-growth themes like infrastructure and capital goods. PVSL’s commentary and financial figures reflect this broader market context, showcasing how the company is navigating the currents.

Driving Sales Forward: A Segmental Deep Dive

PVSL’s Total Income for Q1 FY26 saw a modest 1.3% year-over-year (YoY) increase to ₹1,316 crore, a commendable feat given the subdued market. However, on a quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) basis, revenue dipped by 4.4% from ₹1,376.2 crore, aligning with the seasonal slowdown highlighted by management.

A closer look at the segments reveals where the company is finding its momentum:

Metric Q1 FY25 Q4 FY25 Q1 FY26 QoQ Change YoY Change
New Vehicles
Volumes (In Units) 9,676 10,370 9,532 -8% -1%
Average Selling Price (INR) 9,62,403 9,82,931 9,77,571 -1% +2%
Total Income (INR Crs) 931 1,019 932 -9% 0%
Pre-Owned Vehicles
Volumes (In Units) 2,472 2,659 2,575 -3% +4%
Average Selling Price (INR) 3,42,461 3,23,404 3,62,144 +12% +6%
Total Income (INR Crs) 85 86 93 +8% +10%
Services
Volumes (In Units) 2,54,358 2,62,023 2,53,851 -3% 0%
Average Selling Price (INR) 8,534 7,899 8,938 +13% +5%
Total Income (INR Crs) 217 207 227 +10% +5%

The New Vehicles segment, traditionally PVSL’s core, saw a marginal 1% YoY decline in volumes and remained flat on income. However, a significant internal shift is underway: the luxury portfolio demonstrated impressive YoY growth, contributing to a 2% increase in the average selling price (ASP) for new vehicles. This indicates a strategic push towards higher-value sales. The non-luxury PV segment, particularly compact cars, continued to feel the pinch of the broader slowdown. A critical observation from management was the significant reduction in discount levels. For instance, Maruti Arena discounts dropped from ~INR12,000 to INR5,500-INR6,000, and Nexa discounts from ~INR15,000 to INR7,500-INR8,000, which is a strong positive for future margin preservation.

PVSL truly accelerated in its Pre-Owned Vehicles and Services segments. Pre-owned vehicle income surged 10% YoY, driven by both higher volumes (+4% YoY) and a healthy 6% increase in ASP. The Services segment, a key high-margin business, delivered robust performance with a 5% YoY increase in income and a remarkable 10% QoQ growth, supported by a 13% QoQ jump in ASP due to higher-ticket service volumes. The Spare Parts Distribution business also maintained its performance, generating ₹64 crore.

This performance highlights management’s deliberate strategic shift towards high-margin businesses like services and spare parts, which typically offer more stable revenue streams regardless of new vehicle sales cycles. This diversification is crucial for resilience in a cyclical industry like auto dealerships.

Revenue Mix Insights (Q1 FY26):

Unpacking Earnings: A Turnaround in Progress?

Now, let’s examine profitability. While the headlines might raise eyebrows, a closer look reveals a story of diligent cost management and early signs of a turnaround.

Metric Q1 FY26 (INR Crs) Q1 FY25 (INR Crs) YoY Growth (%) Q4 FY25 (INR Crs) QoQ Growth (%)
Total Income 1,316.0 1,298.4 1.3% 1,376.2 -4.4%
EBITDA 38.3 52.0 -26.3% 29.7 28.9%
EBITDA Margin (%) 2.9% 4.0% -109 bps 2.2% +70 bps
Profit After Tax (PAT) -8.8 5.4 - -13.7 -

The EBITDA figure, though down 26.3% YoY, showed a remarkable 28.9% QoQ improvement to ₹38.3 crore. This significant quarter-on-quarter recovery, despite lower sales, suggests that management’s aggressive cost-control measures are indeed taking effect. EBITDA margins expanded to 2.9% from 2.2% in Q4 FY25, a positive change indicating improved operational efficiency. The blended gross margins were around 14.6%-14.7%, a slight dip from historical 15-16% due to impacts from the Piaggio business and JLR product mix, but Maruti margins remained strong at ~18.7%. The planned exit from Piaggio, JLR margin improvements, and potential GST changes are expected to bolster these margins.

On the expense front, “Other Expenses” notably decreased both YoY and QoQ, reinforcing the cost-control narrative. Despite these efforts, PVSL reported a Profit After Tax (PAT) loss of ₹8.8 crore. While this is an improvement from the ₹13.7 crore loss in Q4 FY25, it marks a shift from the profit of ₹5.4 crore in Q1 FY25. Looking at the historical P&L, FY25 itself saw a significant decline in profitability and an overall loss compared to previous years. This indicates that the company is currently in a challenging transition phase.

Given the recent losses and the cyclical nature of the auto dealership business, PVSL currently appears to be in a “turnaround” phase. Management’s aggressive focus on cost controls, strategic divestments, and diversifying into high-margin segments aligns with efforts to become a more resilient and potentially “stalwart” performer in the long run. An impairment loss provision of ~INR3 crore was created in Q1 FY26, which the company is rigorously pursuing and expects a reversal/benefit in Q2.

Financial Health Check: Navigating Working Capital & Capital Allocation

Efficient working capital management is paramount for a dealership business. PVSL shows some positive indicators here:

The company’s Capital Expenditure (CapEx) plans are well-aligned with its strategic growth and diversification initiatives:

These investments are crucial for future revenue streams. While new dealerships typically have a gestation period, the EV facilities’ quicker operational timelines suggest a relatively faster impact on future sales. The management’s focus on entering new geographies and segments aligns with their strategy of “Diversification” and “Deeper Penetration,” which should underpin future earnings growth.

From a Financing perspective, the company’s total debt stands at approximately ₹540 crore, mainly for expansion plans. Management aims to reduce this by 5-6% by Q3 FY26, with the blended average cost of debt expected to decrease from 8-8.2% to below 8% in Q2. The re-affirmation of CRISIL A/Stable credit ratings for both PVSL and its subsidiary is a testament to its continued financial stability. However, the Net Debt/EBITDA ratio increased to 2.2x in FY25 from 1.3x in FY24, primarily due to the significant drop in EBITDA during FY25. This ratio is a metric to watch closely as the company aims for profitability recovery. The positive cash flow from operating activities in FY25 (₹150.8 crore) is a strong signal that the core business is generating cash, enabling further investments and potentially debt reduction. The company expects to receive ~INR70 crore from the divestment of its Honda and Piaggio businesses by end of August, which will be used for acquisitions, expansion, and debt reduction.

The Road Ahead: Strategic Vision & Outlook

Mr. Naveen Philip, the Managing Director, acknowledged the “prolonged slowdown” in the market but expressed confidence in India’s long-term growth story. He anticipates a demand recovery, especially in the compact car segment, further fueled by expectations of a “robust H2” due to festive demand, potential GST reduction (e.g., 28% to 18% for small cars), and lowering interest rates.

PVSL’s strategic priorities are clear and focused on enhancing resilience and profitability:

  1. Diversification: Expanding into new geographies (like Punjab, Karnataka) and adding new brands (BharatBenz, Ather) and luxury portfolios (JLR).
  2. Focus on High Margin Business: Increasing the contribution from services, repairs, and spare parts distribution (which contributed 71% to EBITDA in FY25 despite only 21% to revenue). The company aims to improve product mix by focusing on luxury and premium vehicles, which command higher ASPs and better after-sales service opportunities.
  3. Deeper Penetration: Pursuing inorganic growth by acquiring weaker dealerships (actively looking for 1-2 acquisitions by Q2, with Telangana a focus), organic growth by opening new outlets in underserved areas, and enhancing digital presence. The “assets classified as held for sale” on the balance sheet also align with the management’s comment on selective divestments, streamlining their asset base.

The “pyramid model” business vertical breakdown clearly illustrates management’s intent: to shift from solely relying on high-volume, low-margin new vehicle sales towards a higher contribution from high-margin services and spare parts. This is a direct strategic move to improve overall profitability ratios, which have been under pressure.

Management’s Outlook for Future Earnings:

These are aggressive targets for a company currently in a turnaround phase. While the Q1 QoQ performance shows execution capability on cost control, the ability to achieve such rapid growth and margin expansion will depend heavily on market recovery and successful integration of new dealerships.

Key Takeaways for Investors 💡

PVSL’s Q1 FY26 results reveal a company strategically maneuvering through a challenging economic period:

In conclusion, Popular Vehicles and Services Limited is actively implementing strategies to improve its financial health and diversify its revenue streams, clearly classifying it in a “turnaround” phase. The Q1 FY26 results show management’s proactive measures in cost control and strategic expansion, which are positive indicators for its ability to deliver on future guidance. The recovery in operating margins QoQ is particularly encouraging, suggesting that the worst of the profitability pressures might be easing, provided the broader market improves in the anticipated robust second half of FY26.